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Red62
5859.0
441517.7
125133.7
Blue144
480015.9
98776.2
347316.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4190015020062144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.6
28.128.6
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
blue by 42.5
987
#2
76.22.9
66.068.9
Auto6.8
Teleop69.4
End0.0
Second
4415
#38
17.70.6
18.218.8
Auto0.8
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 1.3
3473
#15
16.32.9
15.017.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
585
#42
9.00.6
4.14.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End0.0
blue by 6.9
4800
#34
15.94.2
4.89.0
Auto1.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0