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Qual 812015 Las Vegas Regional
Red107
301922.2
125133.7
84231.9
Blue72
513411.8
298413.7
450125.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions843905010015010772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1251
#5
33.71.3
30.0→31.4
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
red by 8.1
4501
#8
25.61.2
24.9→26.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
842
#9
31.91.3
28.8→30.1
Auto4.2
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 18.2
2984
#30
13.71.3
12.4→13.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
3019
#23
22.21.3
21.3→22.7
Auto1.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 10.4
5134
#37
11.81.2
10.6→11.8
Auto1.2
Teleop10.6
End0.0