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Red59
545119.3
98811.4
68721.5
Blue32
349528.0
501211.9
99118.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5251204060801005932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#16
21.50.4
21.722.1
Auto1.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 6.5
3495
#19
28.01.2
27.326.2
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
5451
#13
19.30.4
18.919.3
Auto0.6
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 1.1
991
#12
18.21.3
20.118.8
Auto0.9
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
988
#39
11.40.4
11.011.4
Auto-0.9
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5012
#41
11.91.2
8.27.0
Auto0.8
Teleop11.1
End0.0