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Red145
26356.3
169052.6
60111.8
Blue161
395027.8
317147.8
313727.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11991050150200250145161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#4
56.30.4
55.956.3
Auto0.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 8.5
47.81.0
46.747.8
Auto0.5
Teleop47.3
End0.0
Second
52.60.4
52.252.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.9
End0.0
red by 24.8
3950
#21
27.81.4
26.427.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Third
601
#45
11.80.6
11.211.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 15.3
3137
#24
27.11.4
25.827.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.2
End0.0