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Red28
456712.8
56921.4
57369.5
Blue5
28695.8
160110.6
51417.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3526020406080100285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
569
#15
21.40.6
16.215.7
Auto0.7
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 3.7
514
#27
17.70.8
6.45.7
Auto0.8
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
4567
#37
12.80.6
11.110.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 2.2
1601
#26
10.61.0
13.612.7
Auto0.7
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
5736
#43
9.50.6
7.56.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 3.6
2869
#51
5.81.0
8.47.4
Auto0.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0