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Red82
29619.0
115645.6
34606.9
Blue53
317147.8
28729.2
35212.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6542020801001201408253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.1
34.535.6
Auto1.6
Teleop44.0
End0.0
blue by 2.2
3171
#3Sur
47.80.4
28.228.6
Auto0.5
Teleop47.3
End0.0
Second
296
#19Sur
19.00.9
14.515.4
Auto0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 7.0
352
#34
12.00.5
11.512.0
Auto0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
3460
#47
6.91.5
14.816.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 2.2
2872
#44
9.20.5
7.27.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0