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Red19
509923.7
56412.3
248710.9
Blue10
60111.8
175111.2
28729.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393702060801910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5099
#11
23.71.6
11.810.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 11.9
601
#45
11.82.5
13.911.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Second
564
#42
12.31.6
13.211.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 1.1
1751
#41
11.22.5
18.415.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Third
2487
#39
10.91.6
13.411.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.1
End0.0
red by 1.7
2872
#44
9.22.5
7.75.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0