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Red50
456712.8
2813.9
179626.1
Blue6
28734.7
57369.5
21617.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58551020304050708090506

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#18
26.10.5
23.422.9
Auto0.6
Teleop25.5
End0.0
blue by 8.6
287
#17
34.72.2
34.332.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Second
28
#29
13.90.8
22.621.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 4.4
5736
#43
9.53.7
7.73.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
4567
#37
12.80.8
13.412.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 5.1
2161
#49
7.73.7
15.111.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0