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Red89
260120.9
56921.4
263827.6
Blue80
2813.9
60111.8
234711.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403102060801008980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#14
27.64.1
16.120.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 13.7
28
#29
13.93.9
15.619.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Second
569
#15
21.44.1
12.216.2
Auto0.7
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 9.6
601
#45
11.83.9
9.813.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
2601
#16
20.93.5
11.815.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 9.3
2347
#32
11.63.9
7.911.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.8
End0.0