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Red138
169052.6
160110.6
362433.5
Blue144
26356.3
400626.9
509923.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727020406080100120140138144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.63.3
35.438.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.9
End0.0
blue by 3.7
263
#4
56.33.7
50.454.1
Auto0.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
33.53.3
26.629.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 6.5
4006
#12
26.96.2
15.021.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Third
1601
#26
10.65.5
10.516.0
Auto0.7
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 13.1
5099
#11
23.76.2
10.216.4
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0