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Red94
565930.7
260120.9
51417.7
Blue55
88420.3
445818.3
27129.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454540506070809455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.73.9
16.220.2
Auto0.9
Teleop29.8
End0.0
red by 1.3
271
#10
29.40.5
22.723.2
Auto0.7
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Second
2601
#16
20.92.6
18.721.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 0.6
884
#25
20.30.7
8.08.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
514
#27
17.72.6
11.714.4
Auto0.8
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4458
#13
18.30.7
15.616.3
Auto0.7
Teleop17.5
End0.0