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Red4
248710.9
60111.8
34606.9
Blue36
21617.7
18038.4
362433.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34530100150200250436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
601
#45
11.82.8
13.710.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 21.7
33.50.8
29.929.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
2487
#39
10.92.8
11.88.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.1
End0.0
red by 2.4
1803
#33
8.41.3
10.59.2
Auto1.0
Teleop7.5
End0.0
Third
3460
#47
6.92.8
12.69.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 0.8
2161
#49
7.71.3
11.310.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0