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Red70
395027.8
234711.6
15379.7
Blue58
88420.3
456712.8
60111.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40360102030506070807058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3950
#21
27.82.4
20.422.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 7.5
884
#25
20.31.7
12.314.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
2347
#32
11.62.4
11.914.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4567
#37
12.81.7
14.616.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
1537
#40
9.72.4
8.310.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 2.1
601
#45
11.81.7
10.912.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0