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Red0
18038.4
234711.6
400626.9
Blue42
175111.2
501613.2
57369.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5130020406080100120140160042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4006
#12
26.92.5
25.723.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 13.8
5016
#38
13.20.6
13.814.4
Auto0.9
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Second
2347
#32
11.62.5
15.212.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 0.4
1751
#41
11.20.6
11.011.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Third
1803
#33
8.42.5
9.06.5
Auto1.0
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 1.0
5736
#43
9.50.6
9.710.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0