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Red40
87114.8
87023.8
28729.2
Blue13
15379.7
57369.5
28695.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4521060801001201404013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#22
23.80.2
21.621.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 14.1
1537
#40
9.71.1
7.86.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Second
871
#23
14.80.3
11.811.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
red by 5.3
5736
#43
9.52.0
9.57.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
2872
#44
9.20.3
9.89.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
red by 3.4
2869
#51
5.81.1
9.58.4
Auto0.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0