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Red80
56412.3
52722.3
115645.6
Blue50
456712.8
445818.3
565930.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79600501001508050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.4
44.645.0
Auto1.6
Teleop44.0
End0.0
red by 14.9
30.71.1
32.231.1
Auto0.9
Teleop29.8
End0.0
Second
527
#30
22.30.4
22.222.6
Auto0.5
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 4.1
4458
#13
18.31.1
19.418.3
Auto0.7
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
564
#42
12.30.5
11.712.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4567
#37
12.81.1
13.912.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End0.0