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Red108
400626.9
248710.9
317147.8
Blue84
263827.6
29619.0
51417.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7356010015010884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.8
41.443.1
Auto0.5
Teleop47.3
End0.0
red by 20.2
2638
#14
27.61.7
26.027.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
4006
#12
26.92.5
23.325.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 8.0
296
#19
19.01.2
17.819.0
Auto0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
2487
#39
10.92.5
8.410.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 6.8
514
#27
17.71.2
16.517.7
Auto0.8
Teleop16.9
End0.0