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Red135
395027.8
317147.8
313727.1
Blue114
179626.1
27129.4
28734.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91856080100120140135114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.7
45.245.9
Auto0.5
Teleop47.3
End0.0
red by 13.1
287
#17
34.70.4
34.334.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Second
3950
#21
27.80.9
24.325.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.8
End0.0
blue by 1.6
271
#10
29.40.4
28.929.4
Auto0.7
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
3137
#24
27.10.9
23.724.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 1.0
1796
#18
26.10.4
25.726.1
Auto0.6
Teleop25.5
End0.0