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Red113
234424.7
188425.5
179622.3
Blue102
35422.9
69432.5
27117.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6867406080100120113102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.1
24.425.5
Auto0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0
blue by 7.1
694
#2
32.50.8
31.832.5
Auto0.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Second
24.71.1
23.624.7
Auto0.3
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 1.8
354
#6
22.90.8
22.122.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Third
1796
#27
22.31.1
21.222.3
Auto0.4
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 5.0
271
#22
17.30.8
16.517.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.3
End0.0