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Red31
123012.8
46409.0
6409.7
Blue45
317125.3
35816.6
37510.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304401001503145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1230
#50
12.80.2
19.118.9
Auto0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 12.5
25.30.2
18.418.6
Auto0.2
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Second
640
#44
9.70.2
7.87.6
Auto0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 7.0
358
#21
16.60.2
13.313.4
Auto0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
4640
#39
9.00.2
6.46.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 1.4
375
#45
10.40.2
11.311.5
Auto0.3
Teleop10.1
End0.0