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Red10
30598.7
163517.7
37510.4
Blue16
412216.0
166014.3
18808.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4226060801001201401601016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.72.1
14.112.0
Auto0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 1.7
4122
#15
16.01.1
11.810.6
Auto0.4
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
375
#45
10.42.1
14.412.3
Auto0.3
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 3.9
1660
#19
14.31.1
9.88.6
Auto0.4
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
3059
#42
8.72.1
12.810.7
Auto0.3
Teleop8.4
End0.0
red by 0.7
1880
#51
8.01.1
8.06.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.1
End0.0