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Red4
51238.2
528912.7
55997.6
Blue55
186016.0
139612.7
577316.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2729050100150200455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5289
#26
12.72.0
9.77.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 3.5
5773
#14
16.22.1
5.77.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
5123
#49
8.22.0
9.27.2
Auto0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 7.8
1860
#12
16.02.1
13.615.7
Auto0.8
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
5599
#47
7.62.0
9.27.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 5.1
1396
#13
12.72.1
10.912.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0