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Red30
57814.9
80615.5
81015.2
Blue8
28957.8
55582.3
46409.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23190406080308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
806
#11
15.51.1
8.69.6
Auto0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 6.4
4640
#39
9.00.5
6.25.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Second
810
#24
15.21.1
10.111.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 7.4
2895
#32
7.80.5
7.77.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0
Third
5781
#48
4.91.1
4.45.5
Auto0.3
Teleop4.6
End0.0
red by 2.5
5558
#66
2.30.5
6.55.9
Auto0.3
Teleop2.1
End0.0