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Red12
412216.0
40128.6
54216.8
Blue2
529810.9
11558.9
47735.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34230406080100120122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4122
#15
16.01.8
11.79.9
Auto0.4
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 5.1
5298
#34
10.92.0
14.012.0
Auto0.0
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Second
4012
#53
8.61.8
12.310.5
Auto0.0
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 0.4
1155
#40
8.92.0
4.72.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
Third
5421
#46
6.81.8
9.47.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.8
End0.0
red by 1.8
4773
#57
5.02.0
6.95.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0