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Red8
160011.3
452810.6
46846.9
Blue14
35816.6
39511.6
51238.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21320406080100120140814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1600
#41
11.31.3
8.47.1
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 5.3
358
#21
16.61.5
13.412.0
Auto0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Second
4528
#33
10.61.3
11.19.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 0.9
395
#31
11.61.5
11.19.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
4684
#58
6.91.3
3.82.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5123
#49
8.21.5
7.25.7
Auto0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0