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Red26
42993.9
529810.9
35816.6
Blue6
154617.0
257914.1
32044.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2734050100150266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#21
16.60.2
12.011.7
Auto0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 0.3
1546
#25
17.02.3
13.711.3
Auto0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Second
5298
#34
10.90.2
12.011.8
Auto0.0
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 3.2
2579
#10
14.12.3
14.612.3
Auto0.0
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
4299
#64
3.90.2
4.94.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 1.0
3204
#55
4.92.3
5.83.4
Auto0.0
Teleop4.9
End0.0