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Red76
33418.4
260111.8
179622.3
Blue61
54539.6
485614.5
81015.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522504060801001207661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#27
22.32.2
16.518.7
Auto0.4
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 7.1
810
#24
15.23.1
11.214.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Second
334
#18
18.42.2
19.121.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 3.9
4856
#20
14.53.1
11.714.8
Auto0.3
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
2601
#30
11.82.2
14.316.5
Auto0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 2.1
5453
#52
9.63.1
6.910.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0