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Red50
257914.1
528912.7
341938.6
Blue6
412216.0
22657.8
32044.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59200100150200506

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.1
33.433.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.7
End0.0
red by 22.6
4122
#15
16.01.7
12.911.2
Auto0.4
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
2579
#10
14.10.1
12.312.4
Auto0.0
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 6.2
2265
#60
7.81.7
10.08.3
Auto0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0
Third
5289
#26
12.70.1
9.29.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 7.8
3204
#55
4.91.7
3.41.8
Auto0.0
Teleop4.9
End0.0