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Red43
47735.0
139612.7
33418.4
Blue17
55582.3
22916.8
160011.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363402060804317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
334
#18
18.40.5
18.218.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 1.6
229
#16
16.81.5
16.014.4
Auto0.3
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Second
1396
#13
12.70.5
10.611.1
Auto0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 1.4
1600
#41
11.31.5
11.19.5
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Third
4773
#57
5.00.5
8.38.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0
red by 2.7
5558
#66DQ
2.34.7
2.37.0
Auto0.3
Teleop2.1
End0.0