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Red64
39511.6
81015.2
6409.7
Blue46
528912.7
40128.6
33312.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292304060806446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
#24
15.22.9
13.416.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 2.4
5289
#26
12.72.3
9.311.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Second
395
#31
11.62.9
10.313.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 0.7
333
#38
12.32.3
6.99.1
Auto0.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
640
#44
9.72.9
5.68.4
Auto0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 1.1
4012
#53
8.62.3
8.911.1
Auto0.0
Teleop8.5
End0.0