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Red18
28957.8
30598.7
74317.8
Blue30
33418.4
42993.9
160011.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373202060801830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
743
#7
17.81.6
17.916.3
Auto0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 0.6
334
#18
18.40.2
22.422.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
3059
#42
8.71.6
12.010.4
Auto0.3
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 2.6
1600
#41
11.30.2
7.57.7
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Third
2895
#32
7.81.6
7.45.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0
red by 3.9
4299
#64
3.90.2
3.84.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.9
End0.0