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Red24
55997.6
11558.9
80615.5
Blue13
54523.7
37510.4
69432.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1653040801001201401602413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
806
#11
15.50.2
13.313.5
Auto0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 17.1
694
#2
32.53.0
32.229.2
Auto0.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Second
1155
#40
8.90.2
4.44.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 1.5
375
#45
10.43.0
13.510.5
Auto0.3
Teleop10.1
End0.0
Third
5599
#47
7.60.2
4.34.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0
red by 3.9
5452
#56
3.73.0
3.00.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.7
End0.0