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Red82
317125.3
341938.6
457115.6
Blue94
234424.7
188425.5
179622.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7954020401001201401608294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.1
38.038.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.7
End0.0
red by 13.2
25.50.8
21.122.0
Auto0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Second
25.30.1
24.724.8
Auto0.2
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 0.6
24.70.8
20.421.2
Auto0.3
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
4571
#29
15.60.1
14.915.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 6.7
1796
#27
22.30.8
17.918.7
Auto0.4
Teleop21.9
End0.0