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Red117
35422.9
69432.5
27117.3
Blue101
234424.7
188425.5
179622.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62594080100117101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
32.51.3
29.530.8
Auto0.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
red by 7.1
25.50.9
22.022.9
Auto0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Second
354
#6
22.91.3
19.821.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 1.8
24.70.9
21.222.1
Auto0.3
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
271
#22
17.31.3
14.215.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 5.0
1796
#27
22.30.9
18.719.7
Auto0.4
Teleop21.9
End0.0