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Red90
234424.7
188425.5
179622.3
Blue50
166014.3
74317.8
485614.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6641020801001201401609050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.6
22.923.5
Auto0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 7.6
743
#7
17.80.1
17.717.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
24.70.6
22.122.7
Auto0.3
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 10.2
4856
#20
14.50.1
14.514.5
Auto0.3
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
1796
#27
22.30.6
19.720.3
Auto0.4
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 8.0
1660
#19
14.30.1
14.214.3
Auto0.4
Teleop13.9
End0.0