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Red74
151137.1
115517.7
155930.5
Blue64
150751.6
317329.7
176512.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7472204060801001201407464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.0
34.834.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.4
End0.0
blue by 14.4
51.60.7
41.841.1
Auto6.8
Teleop44.7
End0.0
Second
1559
#15
30.50.0
26.426.3
Auto0.3
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 0.7
3173
#18
29.70.6
22.722.1
Auto0.2
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Third
1155
#29
17.70.0
13.013.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 5.4
1765
#37
12.41.1
12.211.2
Auto1.6
Teleop10.7
End0.0