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Red52
158516.6
300344.0
23409.9
Blue94
503045.5
176512.4
155118.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486201001502002503003505294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.0
30.030.0
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End0.0
blue by 1.5
45.51.6
36.438.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
1585
#35
16.60.0
12.212.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 1.6
1551
#30
18.22.7
16.118.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
2340
#43
9.90.0
9.69.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 2.5
1765
#37
12.42.7
9.612.3
Auto1.6
Teleop10.7
End0.0