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Red62
39518.3
403948.5
226516.0
Blue42
304429.1
409315.6
279132.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767640601001201406242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.7
41.040.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop49.2
End0.0
red by 16.5
2791
#20
32.02.0
32.130.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
395
#34
18.30.9
19.218.3
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 10.8
3044
#26
29.12.0
36.734.7
Auto0.0
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Third
2265
#31
16.00.9
16.115.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 0.4
4093
#33
15.63.3
12.59.2
Auto1.5
Teleop14.1
End0.0