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Red67
166023.3
158516.6
304429.1
Blue70
112643.8
318118.0
7310.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615302040801001201406770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#26
29.10.3
34.735.0
Auto0.0
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 14.7
43.80.7
23.824.5
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
1660
#22
23.30.3
21.021.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 5.3
3181
#36
18.01.2
19.220.4
Auto0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
1585
#35
16.60.4
5.96.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 6.2
73
#44
10.31.2
12.713.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0