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Red70
317329.7
559024.2
39518.3
Blue90
159112.3
383832.2
37832.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53513040607080907090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#18
29.71.1
22.023.0
Auto0.2
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 3.0
378
#16
32.81.8
20.722.5
Auto0.2
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
5590
#19
24.21.8
14.416.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 8.0
3838
#14
32.23.1
24.127.2
Auto2.0
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
395
#34
18.31.1
18.319.3
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 5.9
1591
#39
12.33.1
8.411.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0