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Red109
317329.7
304429.1
25028.2
Blue60
74317.9
534915.3
226516.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8242010015020010960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#18
29.71.5
23.024.5
Auto0.2
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 11.8
743
#40
17.91.1
22.423.5
Auto0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
3044
#26
29.11.5
33.234.7
Auto0.0
Teleop29.1
End0.0
red by 13.1
2265
#31
16.01.1
12.513.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
250
#21
28.21.5
22.824.3
Auto1.6
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 12.9
5349
#41
15.31.9
14.916.7
Auto0.8
Teleop14.6
End0.0