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Red112
315726.5
7310.3
2034.0
Blue140
150751.6
17424.8
39518.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5856204080100120140112140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#28
34.02.7
39.141.8
Auto0.4
Teleop33.7
End0.0
blue by 17.5
51.65.4
33.438.8
Auto6.8
Teleop44.7
End0.0
Second
3157
#17
26.54.5
8.713.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 1.7
174
#32
24.86.7
14.321.0
Auto0.4
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
73
#44
10.34.5
10.515.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 7.9
395
#34
18.35.8
11.617.4
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0