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Red89
450530.2
222845.7
279132.0
Blue18
534915.3
379919.2
543310.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102380501502008918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.3
42.742.3
Auto0.2
Teleop45.5
End0.0
red by 26.5
3799
#27
19.22.5
17.415.0
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Second
2791
#20
32.00.3
28.528.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 16.7
5349
#41
15.32.5
19.116.6
Auto0.8
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
4505
#13
30.20.3
24.724.4
Auto0.6
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 20.2
5433
#45
10.02.5
13.210.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0