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Red164
19130.1
34049.2
57831.9
Blue74
25028.2
450530.2
155930.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877505010015016474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#10
49.23.8
40.844.6
Auto0.4
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 18.7
1559
#15
30.50.4
28.528.2
Auto0.3
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Second
578
#7
31.93.8
23.327.1
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 1.7
4505
#13
30.20.3
24.424.1
Auto0.6
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Third
191
#24
30.15.5
23.829.3
Auto0.1
Teleop30.1
End0.0
red by 2.0
250
#21
28.20.3
26.526.3
Auto1.6
Teleop26.6
End0.0