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Red94
150751.6
112643.8
383832.2
Blue146
151137.1
503045.5
19130.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221055015020094146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.5
50.449.9
Auto6.8
Teleop44.7
End0.0
red by 6.1
45.50.6
45.245.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
43.80.5
42.642.1
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 6.6
37.10.6
36.837.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.4
End0.0
Third
3838
#14
32.20.6
30.930.4
Auto2.0
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 2.1
191
#24
30.10.6
29.830.4
Auto0.1
Teleop30.1
End0.0