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Red164
34049.2
525457.2
17424.8
Blue180
301540.9
403948.5
37832.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110650150200164180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.7
54.755.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.5
End0.0
red by 8.7
48.51.1
45.246.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop49.2
End0.0
Second
340
#10
49.20.7
46.647.3
Auto0.4
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
3015
#12
40.91.1
37.638.7
Auto0.8
Teleop40.1
End0.0
Third
174
#32
24.80.8
22.022.7
Auto0.4
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 7.9
378
#16
32.81.1
29.530.6
Auto0.2
Teleop32.6
End0.0