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Red193
34049.2
525457.2
17424.8
Blue196
150751.6
112643.8
383832.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12411980100140160180193196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.21.1
56.057.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.5
End0.0
red by 5.7
51.61.2
50.451.6
Auto6.8
Teleop44.7
End0.0
Second
340
#10
49.21.1
47.949.0
Auto0.4
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 5.4
43.81.2
42.643.8
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Third
174
#32
24.81.2
23.424.6
Auto0.4
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 7.4
3838
#14
32.21.3
30.932.2
Auto2.0
Teleop30.2
End0.0