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Red224
525471.3
1114105.8
128527.7
Blue148
540666.8
112643.8
29112.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215101050150200250300224148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
Unranked
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto7.9
Teleop98.0
End0.0
red by 39.0
5406
Unranked
66.80.0
66.866.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop66.9
End0.0
Second
5254
Unranked
71.30.0
71.371.3
Auto2.1
Teleop69.2
End0.0
red by 27.5
1126
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Third
1285
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 15.1
291
Unranked
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.0
End0.0