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Red88
151141.8
403962.6
317329.7
Blue89
133421.3
383832.5
525471.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131119501001502008889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
Unranked
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto-3.7
Teleop66.3
End0.0
blue by 8.7
5254
Unranked
71.30.0
71.371.3
Auto2.1
Teleop69.2
End0.0
Second
1511
Unranked
41.80.0
41.841.8
Auto0.1
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 9.4
3838
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto1.8
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Third
3173
Unranked
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto0.2
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 8.5
1334
Unranked
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0