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Red86
150751.6
158516.6
112643.8
Blue10
315726.5
128527.7
300344.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11192501502008610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto6.8
Teleop44.7
End0.0
red by 7.5
3003
Unranked
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End0.0
Second
1126
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 16.1
1285
Unranked
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
1585
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 9.9
3157
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0